The Complete Timeline Nobody Has in One Place
Finding a comprehensive, unbiased timeline of the Iran strikes is surprisingly hard. Cable news gives you the last 24 hours. Social media gives you rumors. Here''s every verified major event from Day 1 to Day 12.
The Timeline
Day 1 (Feb 28): US and Israeli forces launch coordinated strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Natanz, and Fordow. 400+ cruise missiles and bunker-busters deployed. Iran''s air defense network largely overwhelmed. Oil jumps 8% overnight.
Day 2-3 (Mar 1-2): Iran retaliates with 180+ ballistic missiles and drones toward Israel. Iron Dome and Arrow intercept 94%. 3 missiles hit near Dimona. Iran-backed Houthis attack 2 tankers in the Red Sea.
Day 4-5 (Mar 3-4): Second wave of US strikes targets Iranian missile production facilities and IRGC command centers. Russia condemns strikes at UN Security Council. China calls for "immediate ceasefire." Oil breaks $100.
Day 6-7 (Mar 5-6): Cyber warfare escalates. Iranian APT groups launch massive credential theft campaign — 800K accounts compromised in 48 hours. FBI issues emergency advisory. VPN downloads surge 400%.
Day 8-9 (Mar 7-8): Reports emerge of Russian satellite intelligence being shared with Iranian forces. Diplomatic channels open via Oman. Tanker insurance through Hormuz triples. Gold breaks $5,300.
Day 10-11 (Mar 9-10): Partial ceasefire talks begin. Iran agrees to pause missile launches for 72 hours. US continues "defensive" air patrols. China brokers back-channel negotiations. S&P rallies 2% on ceasefire hopes.
Day 12 (Mar 10): Ceasefire holding but fragile. Oil at $103. 2.3M credentials compromised. VIX at 28. Markets cautiously optimistic but hedging. Iranian cyber operations continue unabated.
What Comes Next
Three scenarios: (1) Ceasefire holds, gradual de-escalation, oil drifts to $90 by April. (2) Ceasefire breaks, escalation resumes, Hormuz risk increases, oil to $120+. (3) Frozen conflict — neither peace nor escalation — the current state persists for months. Scenario 3 is most likely and most dangerous for markets because uncertainty is worse than bad news.
Stay informed. Stay hedged. And protect your digital life.
